Posts Tagged Hugo Chavez

Will they, or won’t they debate?

Yesterday, John McCain suddenly announced he would be suspending his campaign, and returning to Washington to help broker agreement on the rescue/bailout package that congressional leaders and Secretary Paulson have been negotiating.  He also called to cancel tomorrow night’s debate.

David Letterman was miffed that McCain blew off a scheduled appearance on his show last night, in his “race to the airport,” but sat for an interview with Katie Couric instead.  So, Letterman rolled live footage of McCain getting his face powdered before the interview.  “Hey, I’ve got a question for you,” Letterman yelled at the onscreen image of McCain.  “Need a ride to the airport?!”

For his part, Barack Obama wasn’t having any of it.

“With respect to the debates, it’s my belief that this is exactly the time when the American people need to hear from the person who, in approximately 40 days, will be responsible for dealing with this mess. And I think that it is going to be part of the president’s job to deal with more than one thing at once . . .”

“I think there’s no reason why we can’t be constructive in helping to solve this problem and also tell the American people what we believe and where we stand … So in my mind, actually, it’s more important than ever that we present ourselves to the American people and try to describe where we want to take the country and where we want to take the economy.”

President Bush went on the air last night to calm us all, and to explain why we won’t be able to get a car, home or school loan next year, even with a great credit record, if we don’t act now to stabilize our capital markets.  He’s right, actually.  But George Bush isn’t exactly someone most Americans feel confident in.

We are looking to the guy who, just over a month, is going to inherit this mess.  So, as Obama said, there is no better time to hold a nationally televised debate than now.

Senator Lindsey Graham, McCain’s debate negotiations pointman, had this to say yesterday: “We need a solution on this crisis more than we need a foreign policy debate.”  Oh, really?  I wonder what Mr. Graham had to say today, after Pakistani and American troops exchanged firewith eachother — and Pakistan’s Prime Minister had this to say:

“We will not tolerate any act against our sovereignty and integrity in the name of the war against terrorism,” Pakistan’s prime minister, Yousaf Raza Gilani, told reporters on Wednesday. “We are fighting extremism and terror not for any other country, but our own country.”

And that’s not all.  Terrorist violence in Pakistan has been escalating,  and there are now reports that a “grim” new National Intelligence Estimate on the situation in Afghanistan is ready, but that it won’t be released until after the election.  Iran’s nuclear development activities aren’t on hold while Washington works to rescue Wall Street.  The North Korea deal still hangs precariously on the cliff of failure.  A new Israeli Prime Minister may or may not be able to hold a coalition government together to continue peace talks with the Palestinians, and with the Syrians.  Hugo Chavez gallivants off to see his new BFFs in Moscow every other month.  But hey, no biggie.  All that stuff can wait.

I agree with Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank (never one to mince words) that McCain’s announcement was “the longest Hail Mary pass in the history of football or Marys.”  The negotiations include Senate and House leadership and the Senate Banking and House Financial Services committes.  John McCain will not be in the room at 10:00am this morning when the negotiators hammer out their remaining differences.  In fact, the negotiators will have to take a break from the actual business of negotiating to troop over to the White House and have a meaningless photo op with the President.  The president has little juice left for effective arm-twisting, and whatever lines in the sand he wants to express, are obviously represented for him by Hank Paulson.  The only thing that meeting could be good for is if Congressional leaders and Paulson have reached an agreement by the time they all arrive at the White House, and President Bush announces the deal when the “meeting” wraps.

At this stage, the arms that still need twisting are those members who don’t want the government, and thus the taxpayers, to have to front this money for Wall Street.  They are understandably angry, but they need to realize that things will only get far worse if we don’t act to stabilize the markets.  So the parameters really are around how much money truly needs to be fronted (Paulson is erring on the side of as much as he can have the authority to move around), what measures will be taken to penalize those at fault (limiting CEO pay, for example), what measures can be put in place to increase the likelihood and the amount of profit the taxpayer, and not the bailed out companies, will get later for fronting the money now, and, is there anything Congress can do to prevent more homes from being foreclosed (I have read about a proposal to allow bankruptcy judges to reset mortgage terms, but I doubt that would fly).

If John McCain wants to be useful, he should march over to Jeb Henslaring’s (R-TX) office and twist his arm.  “Jeb, I don’t like this anymore than you do,” he should say.  “But I need the caucus with me on this one.  I don’t want to be responsible for the deal failing, and Reid and Pelosi are threatening not to move if the GOP sits back on this one.  It sure would be nice to all buck the president, vote no and let the Democrats pass a socialist government takeover of Wall Street, but Harry and Nancy aren’t going for it.  So, I’ve come back to save the deal, right?  Seriously, I need you to shut up and fall in line.  You know, as if I were the leader of the Party now and I carried some real sway with you jerks?”

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Round-up: Georgia, Russia, Venezuela

Georgia’s former defense minister Irakly Okruashvili claims that he helped President Saakashvili draw up invasion plans to retake the breakaway regions of Abkhasia and South Ossetia three years ago, but that President Bush had made clear that the U.S. would not be able to help Georgia militarily if it were to invade.  Okruashvili, described as a hawk on foreign policy, noted that Russia built up its military presence in the Caucasus region– “for us” (the Georgians)–in 2006, making it impossible to successfully execute the invasion plan.  He goes on to say that Saakashvili was reckless in invading South Ossetia this summer, miscalculating that U.S. diplomatic pressure would stay a Russian response.  In January, Okruahsvili fled Georgia, upon his conviction and sentencing (to 11 years) on corruption charges he claims were trumped up to quiet a critic of the president.  His account could certainly be a play for fame in the event Saakashvili loses the presidency, but if it is true, it gives one pause about the judgment of John McCain’s good buddy Misha (Saakashvili to those who don’t know him personally), and the wisdom of pushing for Georgia to get into NATO.  Although, I read recently that a country cannot get into NATO if its borders are under dispute (for obvious reasons).

 

The Russian Newspaper Pravda published perhaps the most vile commentary (if it passes for that) I’ve ever read- though I can’t be sure the paper doesn’t always read this way.  The foul-mouthed, over-the-top inappropriate piece takes Sarah Palin to task for her recent ignorant and arrogant comments about U.S. policy toward Russia.  I found her comments showed just how unprepared for the presidency (or vice presidency) she truly is.  But any valid points the commentary could have made are erased by the gratuitous insults throughout.  However, reading this wacko commentary will teach you about the challenges ahead in for U.S. -Russian relations generally speaking–and the writer correctly points out that Russia has a nuclear arsenal to think about.  While the writer doesn’t speak for the Russian government, his hysterical response is an example of the kind of diplomacy Palin would so misguidedly get us into.  Thanks, but no thanks.

However, this commentary by Natan Sharansky in today’s Washington Post, is worth a read, as it sheds light on what went wrong with our post Cold War relationship with Russia.  A key point is that when Putin first took over, the United States missed prime opportunities to use the fabled “carrot” to advance the relationship.  Then, when Putin began to roll back democratic reforms, the United States failed to use the stick.

 

Well, Venezuela is lost.  

At least that is what many Venezuelans must be thinking after President Chavez appears to have pushed through a number of reforms by presidential decree that were rejected in a national referendum seven months ago.  More and more, Venezuela is turning into yesterday’s Cuba — with oil.  I say yesterday’s Cuba because the full-on socialist model in Cuba has not reaped tremendous results, popularized education and primary healthcare excepted.  In fact, many would say it has failed spectacularly, and that to survive, Cuba must open up the economy more to the free market.  These developments in Venezuela are all the more discouraging when you take into account the burgeoning relationship with Russia.  Whether Chavez’ Bolivarian revolution will really take off in any of the rest of Latin America is not terribly likely, but the region is not likely to shun him while the country continues to be such a major player in the petroleum market.  As this commentary notes, so many of us incorrectly breathed a sigh of relief to see Chavez seemingly chastened by the referendum’s defeat early this year, and even that the “end of the Chavez era” seemed to be in sight.

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From Russia with love

Have you heard the news?  Russia and Venezuela are dating.

Shall we dance?

Shall we dance?

And, they are auditioning to replace Iraq and North Korea on the Axis of Evil.  This Business Investors Daily article contemplates what would happen to our foreign oil imports if Russia and Venezuela ever decided to –I’m really not sure here–blockade the sea lanes through which the shipments have to travel.  Is such a scenario truly possible?  Perhaps if nuclear warheads were onboard…  Though, for now, they are just conducting joint military exercises in the Caribbean, so there’s nothing to be worried about.

I jest, but only a little.  We would do well to engage Russia now, because which each complacent provocation we initiate (NATO enlargement, Missile Defense Shield in every country that was ever allied with Russia), Vladimir Putin is prepared to see ours and raise it two belligerent “oh yeah?!”’s in response.

Case in point, did anyone notice that Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister traveled to Cuba last month, along with their National Security chief, and that upon receiving his glowing report on the visit, and personal greetings from Raul, Putin declared “We should restore our position in Cuba and other countries.”

Of course, Investors Business Daily thinks the smart money is on our oil, which is not surprising to hear from an investors magazine.  But what will the candidates say in their debate, because surely a resurgent Russia will a hot topic.  Good thing Palin’s got a leg up on that one.

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